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Yesterday, we publicly released the new Wholesale Electricity Market Portal to help users examine and access electricity markets data in the seven Regional Transmission Organizations and Independent System Operators.
Tags: electricity, map, RTO (regional transmission organization), ISO (independent system operator)
Data values: Winter Fuels Outlook
Every October, in our Winter Fuels Outlook, we publish forecasts for residential energy consumption, prices, and expenditures for the upcoming winter months. Generally, these forecasts have performed well. Our October forecasts for energy expenditures during the five-month period from November 2023 through March 2024 were within 3% of our final estimates for homes primarily heated with natural gas, electricity, and propane. Estimated energy expenditures for homes primarily heated with heating oil were 13% lower than our October forecast because of mild winter weather and lower-than-expected crude oil prices.
Tags: forecasts/projections, natural gas, electricity, weather, heating oil, STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook), propane
Reposted on April 10, 2024 to correct multiple errors.
The electricity mix of energy sources in Texas, managed by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) electricity grid operator, changed noticeably in 2023. Although wind power remains the largest source of renewable power in the state, the installation of new wind turbine capacity slowed in 2023, while additions of solar generating capacity, often co-located with storage, grew rapidly. With more solar capacity on the ERCOT electricity grid, we expect less use of natural gas generation during the middle of the day when solar generation displaces it. We also expect less use of natural gas in the summer when electricity demand is at its highest in Texas. However, natural gas will continue to be a key source of electricity generation in the evening when demand is high and solar generation diminishes as the sun goes down.
Tags: generation, electricity, renewables, Texas, solar, states
U.S. manufacturers specializing in chemicals and petroleum refining have traditionally accounted for the largest shares of both hydrogen consumption and production, and they pay the least for it. With new legislation, we expect changes to how hydrogen is consumed and distributed in the country.
Tags: manufacturing, consumption/demand, map, MECS (Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey), production/supply, refining
On April 8, 2024, a full solar eclipse will briefly but fully obscure sunlight to utility-scale solar generation facilities from Texas through Maine with a combined 6.5 gigawatts (GW) of capacity. In addition, the eclipse will partially block sunlight to facilities with a combined 84.8 GW of capacity in an even larger swath of the United States around peak solar generating time.
Tags: generation, electricity, solar, map
In our March Petroleum Supply Monthly (PSM), we introduced data on the interregional movement of renewable diesel. These new data add to our existing tanker and barge movement coverage for renewable diesel. With the new data, we now capture most of the renewable diesel movements to the U.S. West Coast, the region where most of the renewable diesel is consumed in the United States.
Tags: renewables, Oregon, liquid fuels, diesel, California, states, biofuels, map, Washington, rail
U.S. ethane production, consumption, and exports established new record highs in 2023, according to data from our Petroleum Supply Monthly. Continued growth in ethane consumption in the global petrochemical sector and rising ethane recovery associated with natural gas production drove these increases.
Tags: consumption/demand, ethane, exports/imports, oil/petroleum, production/supply
Petroleum product exports from the United States averaged a record 6.1 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2023, a 2.5% increase from 2022, according to our Petroleum Supply Monthly. Propane drove the growth in U.S. petroleum product exports, offsetting decreases in gasoline and distillate exports.
Tags: gasoline, distillate fuel, exports/imports, propane, oil/petroleum
The United States exported more liquefied natural gas (LNG) than any other country in 2023. U.S. LNG exports averaged 11.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d)—a 12% increase (1.3 Bcf/d) compared with 2022, according to data from our Natural Gas Monthly.
Tags: natural gas, international, exports/imports, United States, liquid fuels, Australia, LNG (liquefied natural gas), Qatar, Russia
The collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge into the Patapsco River on March 26 has temporarily halted all shipping traffic from the Port of Baltimore. In this article, we examine implications for energy-related trade.
Tags: coal, exports/imports
U.S. natural gas production grew by 4% in 2023, or 5.0 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), to average 125.0 Bcf/d, according to our Natural Gas Monthly. The Natural Gas Monthly was recently updated with natural gas production data through December 2023. In 2023, three regions—Appalachia, Permian, and Haynesville—accounted for 59% of all natural gas production in the United States, similar to 2022, based on our Drilling Productivity Report (DPR). The DPR measures gross natural gas withdrawals in select onshore regions.
Tags: natural gas, Haynesville, Permian, production/supply
According to preliminary data from our Electricity Data Browser, the least hydropower was generated in the western United States during the 2022–23 water year (October 1 through September 30) since at least 2001. Western region hydropower generation dropped by 11% from the previous water year to 141.6 million megawatthours (MWh). Hydropower generation in the western United States can vary significantly from year to year because the amount of precipitation influences generation.
Tags: generation, electricity, Oregon, California, states, Arizona, hydroelectric, Washington
Natural gas prices at SoCal Citygate, the major price hub in Southern California, averaged $3.61 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in December 2023—the lowest December spot price since 2015 when adjusted for inflation—according to data from Natural Gas Intelligence. The main drivers for the low price this past December were:
Tags: natural gas, prices, weather, California, states
We increased our forecast prices for crude oil and petroleum products for the remainder of 2024 in our March Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) following the announcement that OPEC+ will extend the existing voluntary production cuts through the second quarter of 2024. We now forecast significantly less global oil production than world oil consumption through the first half of 2024, requiring draws on world petroleum stocks (inventory). Stock draws tend to increase oil prices.
Tags: oil/petroleum, crude oil, liquid fuels, prices, forecasts/projections, STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook), production/supply, OPEC, international, consumption/demand, gasoline, petroleum products
In 2023, 5.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of natural gas intrastate pipeline capacity was added in the United States, according to our recently updated Natural Gas Pipeline Projects Tracker. Intrastate pipelines are within a single state (that is, they do not cross state lines) and are regulated by state agencies. Interstate pipelines cross state and international borders and are regulated by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).
Tags: natural gas, pipelines, map, Eagle Ford, Permian, capacity